The long term consequences of absence
The long term consequences of lost learning are significant, contributing to cycles of poverty, missed opportunities and lost potential.
Lower Attainment. There is a proven correlation between school absence and school attainment. Data from the Children’s Commissioner report ‘Missing school, missing grades’ reveals that 78% of pupils who were rarely absent in both years passed at least 5 GCSEs, including English and maths, in 2022. By comparison, just one in twenty pupils who were ‘severely absent’ met the same standards.
Reduced Social Mobility. The Social Mobility Commission views NEET (not in education, employment or training) as a key indicator for social mobility. Research has found that ‘persistently absent’ children and young people (missing 10% or more of education) are 3.9 times more likely to be NEET and 6.3 times more likely to be persistently NEET.
Risk of School Exclusion. The Who is Losing Learning Coalition has found that children who are ‘severely absent’ from school are also five times more likely to be permanently excluded than the national rate, suggesting that severe absence may correlate with behavioural problems that schools do not have the capacity to address.
Exposure to Harmful Influences. School provides a strong protective effect from harmful influences. Analysis from the CSJ in 2023 indicated that the rising rates of school absences could create an extra 9,000 extra young offenders by 2027 if left unresolved.